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| #45111 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 AM 10.Sep.2005) TCMAT1 HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005 1500Z SAT SEP 10 2005 AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM NORTH OF THE SAVANNAH RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 76.5W AT 10/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 0NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 65SW 65NW. 12 FT SEAS..175NE 100SE 175SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N 76.5W AT 10/1500Z AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 76.6W FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 32.0N 76.3W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 32.2N 76.9W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 32.3N 77.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 32.5N 78.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 75SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 33.5N 79.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 35.0N 79.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 37.6N 77.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.6N 76.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA |
