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| #451113 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:58 PM 18.Aug.2011) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 0300 UTC FRI AUG 19 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF GUATEMALA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF GUATEMALA TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS AND THE BAY ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 82.1W AT 19/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 82.1W AT 19/0300Z AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 81.6W FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.5N 83.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.7N 84.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 15.9N 86.6W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.2N 88.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.0N 93.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 82.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/BROWN |
