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| #451190 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 AM 19.Aug.2011) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 500 AM EDT FRI AUG 19 2011 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION VERY NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN HONDURAS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.5N 83.2W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM N OF CABO GRACIAS A DIOS ON NIC/HON BORDER ABOUT 360 MI...580 KM ESE OF BELIZE CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF HONDURAS INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS * THE COAST OF GUATEMALA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE AT ANY TIME WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.2 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS THROUGH SATURDAY AND MOVE INLAND OVER BELIZE AND GUATEMALA BY SATURDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST...BUT ONLY A SMALL INCREASE IN THE WINDS WOULD BRING THE DEPRESSION TO TROPICAL STORM STATUS OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST AND OVER THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS TODAY AND TONIGHT AND ON THE COAST OF GUATEMALA ON SATURDAY. STRONG GUSTY WINDS COULD ALSO AFFECT BELIZE ON SATURDAY. RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...AND BELIZE WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES... ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM EDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG/AVILA |
