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| #451487 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:52 PM 19.Aug.2011) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM HARVEY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 0300 UTC SAT AUG 20 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS * THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD * THE COAST OF BELIZE * THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF GUATEMALA HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG A PORTION OF THE COAST OF BELIZE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 85.2W AT 20/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 34 KT....... 35NE 20SE 0SW 35NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 15SE 15SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 85.2W AT 20/0300Z AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 84.7W FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.4N 86.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 25SE 25SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.8N 88.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.3N 90.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.7N 93.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 18.5N 96.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 85.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
