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| #451634 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:52 PM 20.Aug.2011) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 100 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011 ...CENTER OF HARVEY MAKES LANDFALL NEAR DANGRIGA TOWN BELIZE... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.0N 88.3W ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF BELIZE CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...21 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA SAL WESTWARD * THE COAST OF GUATEMALA * THE COAST OF BELIZE FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ THE CENTER OF HARVEY HAS MADE LANDFALL ON THE COAST OF BELIZE NEAR DANGRIGA TOWN...AND AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.3 WEST. HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH... 21 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INLAND OVER BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE INTO NORTHERN GUATEMALA LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED NOW THAT THE CENTER OF HARVEY IS MOVING INLAND. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS IN THE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA AND BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON. RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA... BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE HARVEY MADE LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
