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#451667 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 20.Aug.2011) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 400 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011 ...HARVEY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER BELIZE... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.2N 88.8W ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM WSW OF BELIZE CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HONDURAS. THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GUATEMALA. THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF BELIZE SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.8 WEST. HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL MOVE FARTHER INLAND OVER BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON AND CROSS NORTHERN GUATEMALA TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER INLAND...AND HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN BELIZE AND NORTHERN GUATEMALA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NEAR THE CENTER OF HARVEY. RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS BELIZE...GUATEMALA... WESTERN HONDURAS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE COAST OF BELIZE SHOULD SUBSIDE TONIGHT. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |