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| #451733 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 PM 20.Aug.2011) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011 0300 UTC SUN AUG 21 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER TO CABO ENGANO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO...U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA * SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND ST. MAARTIN * DOMINICA * BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...MONTSERRAT * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER TO CABO ENGANO TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATE ON MONDAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 59.9W AT 21/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......105NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 0SE 0SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 59.9W AT 21/0300Z AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 59.0W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 16.0N 62.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...105NE 0SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 16.6N 65.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...105NE 45SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 17.2N 68.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...105NE 60SE 45SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 18.0N 70.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 35SW 45NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 19.5N 75.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 90SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 21.5N 78.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 24.5N 80.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 59.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN |
