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| #451991 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:45 PM 21.Aug.2011) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011 2100 UTC SUN AUG 21 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO TO THE BORDER WITH HAITI. THE GOVERNMENT OF CURACAO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA * THE ENTIRE COASTLINE OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * HAITI A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 64.4W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......130NE 20SE 0SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 60SE 15SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 64.4W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 63.7W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 18.2N 66.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 18.9N 69.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 50SE 50SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 19.6N 71.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 40SE 30SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 20.3N 73.5W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 60SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 22.7N 76.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 90SE 60SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 25.5N 79.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 28.5N 81.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 64.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
