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| #452168 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:46 AM 22.Aug.2011) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 100 AM CDT MON AUG 22 2011 ...CENTER OF HARVEY ALMOST ONSHORE NEAR VERACRUZ MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.0N 95.9W ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM ESE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.9 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TO THE WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...HARVEY WILL MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS BECOMING LESS LIKELY AS THE CENTER OF HARVEY APPROACHES THE COAST OF MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER MEXICO BY MONDAY NIGHT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ...OAXACA...HIDALGO...PUEBLA...AND TIAXCALA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. WIND...GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA THROUGH THE MORNING. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG |
