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| #452208 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:00 AM 22.Aug.2011) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 400 AM CDT MON AUG 22 2011 ...HARVEY NOW INLAND OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ... ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.4N 96.0W ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS BEFORE HARVEY DISSIPATES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED NOW THAT HARVEY IS INLAND OVER MEXICO...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ...OAXACA...HIDALGO...PUEBLA...AND TIAXCALA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. WIND...GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BERG |
