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| #452248 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:28 AM 22.Aug.2011) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 700 AM CDT MON AUG 22 2011 ...HARVEY QUICKLY WEAKENING OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.2N 96.7W ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM SW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... NONE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.7 WEST. THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST- SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE HARVEY DISSIPATES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED NOW THAT HARVEY IS WELL INLAND OVER MEXICO...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ...OAXACA...HIDALGO...PUEBLA...AND TIAXCALA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. WIND...GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST OF THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE THIS MORNING BEFORE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/WROE |
