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#452274 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 AM 22.Aug.2011) TCPAT3 BULLETIN REMNANTS OF HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 1000 AM CDT MON AUG 22 2011 ...HARVEY DISSIPATES OVER THE SIERRA MADRE OF MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.1N 97.3W ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF HARVEY WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 25 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS FURTHER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF HARVEY ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ...OAXACA...HIDALGO...PUEBLA...AND TIAXCALA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON HARVEY. $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/WROE |