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| #452281 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:00 AM 22.Aug.2011) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011 1500 UTC MON AUG 22 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BRITISH AND U.S VIRGIN ISLANDS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER EASTWARD TO CABO ENGANO *SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST. NICHOLAS EASTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER * CENTRAL BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA * SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SOUTH OF CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO THE HAITI BORDER * ALL OF HAITI HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 67.5W AT 22/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 40NE 25SE 20SW 35NW. 34 KT.......160NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 60SE 0SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 67.5W AT 22/1500Z AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 67.0W FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 19.9N 69.2W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 45NE 30SE 15SW 45NW. 34 KT...160NE 75SE 45SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 20.5N 71.4W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 45NE 30SE 15SW 45NW. 34 KT...160NE 75SE 45SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 21.2N 73.2W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 45NE 30SE 15SW 45NW. 34 KT...130NE 75SE 45SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 22.0N 75.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 25SW 45NW. 34 KT...160NE 75SE 45SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 25.0N 77.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...160NE 90SE 75SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 28.5N 79.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 32.5N 80.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 67.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
