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| #453175 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 AM 25.Aug.2011) TCMAT5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102011 1500 UTC THU AUG 25 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 31.8W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 31.8W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 31.4W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 13.9N 32.9W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 14.7N 34.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.6N 35.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.6N 35.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.7N 37.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.5N 38.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 22.0N 40.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 31.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
