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| #453294 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 PM 25.Aug.2011) TCMAT4 HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011 2100 UTC THU AUG 25 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA FROM EDISTO BEACH NORTHWARD TO LITTLE RIVER INLET. A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTHWARD TO THE VIRGINIA BORDER... INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK SOUNDS A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM THE VIRGINIA/NORTH CAROLINA BORDER NORTHWARD TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY...AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS * THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET NORTHWARD TO THE VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK SOUNDS A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE VIRGINIA/NORTH CAROLINA BORDER NORTHWARD TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY...AND CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO LITTLE RIVER INLET A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 77.3W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 70NE 60SE 25SW 50NW. 50 KT.......110NE 100SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT.......250NE 200SE 125SW 160NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 90SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 77.3W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 77.2W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 28.7N 77.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 25SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...250NE 200SE 125SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 30.6N 77.8W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 25SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...250NE 200SE 125SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 32.5N 77.4W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 60SE 25SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 50SW 75NW. 34 KT...250NE 200SE 125SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 34.5N 76.9W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...270NE 240SE 140SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 39.8N 74.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 75NW. 34 KT...270NE 270SE 140SW 140NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 48.5N 68.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 56.0N 54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N 77.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
