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| #453739 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:34 PM 26.Aug.2011) TCDAT5 REMNANTS OF TEN DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102011 1100 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011 THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS BECOME ELONGATED AND POORLY DEFINED...AND RESEMBLES A NORTHEAST- TO SOUTHWEST-ORIENTED TROUGH. THE ONLY DEEP CONVECTION IS A SMALL AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES WEST OF THE TROUGH. SINCE THE SYSTEM NOW LACKS THE REQUIRED CHARACTERISTICS THAT DEFINE A TROPICAL CYCLONE...I.E. A WELL-DEFINED CENTER AND ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION...ADVISORIES ARE BEING TERMINATED AT THIS TIME. WESTERLY SHEAR IS LIKELY TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...SO REGENERATION OF THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE UNLIKELY. THE REMNANTS OF THE DEPRESSION ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO UNTIL COMPLETELY LOSING ITS IDENTITY. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/0300Z 16.0N 34.0W 25 KT 30 MPH $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
