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#454307 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 AM 28.Aug.2011) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011 1500 UTC SUN AUG 28 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA TO SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. ALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST SOUTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE AND FOR CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NORTH BEACH. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TO EASTPORT MAINE... INCLUDING CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF NORTH BEACH...DELAWARE BAY...NEW YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET * UNITED STATES/CANADA BORDER NORTHEASTWARD TO FORT LAWRENCE INCLUDING GRAND MANAN * SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM FORT LAWRENCE TO PORTERS LAKE INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.4N 73.7W AT 28/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 23 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 966 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT.......150NE 150SE 80SW 30NW. 34 KT.......230NE 280SE 130SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..420NE 540SE 480SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.4N 73.7W AT 28/1500Z AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.3N 74.1W FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 44.5N 71.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...150NE 150SE 80SW 30NW. 34 KT...250NE 300SE 160SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 49.0N 68.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 360SE 200SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 53.0N 63.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...240NE 360SE 240SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 56.0N 56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...240NE 360SE 240SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 60.0N 38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 360SE 360SW 180NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 62.0N 29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 63.0N 27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.4N 73.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |