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| #454657 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 AM 29.Aug.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011 1500 UTC MON AUG 29 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 27.5W AT 29/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 9.8N 27.5W AT 29/1500Z AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.7N 27.0W FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 10.3N 29.2W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 11.2N 31.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 30SE 15SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 12.3N 34.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 13.4N 37.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 45SE 30SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 15.0N 43.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 16.5N 48.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 18.5N 53.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 9.8N 27.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
