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#455074 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:40 PM 30.Aug.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011 0300 UTC WED AUG 31 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 37.5W AT 31/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 19 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 40SE 20SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 37.5W AT 31/0300Z AT 31/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 36.6W FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 14.0N 40.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 14.8N 43.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 15SE 0SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 35SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 75SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 15.5N 46.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 60NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 16.5N 49.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 35SW 70NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 75SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 18.5N 54.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 45SW 80NW. 34 KT...160NE 140SE 90SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 20.5N 57.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.0N 60.5W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 37.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |