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| #455569 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:48 AM 02.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011 0900 UTC FRI SEP 02 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 51.8W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 90NE 60SE 0SW 75NW. 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 45SW 135NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 90SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 51.8W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 51.3W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 17.7N 53.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 45SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.9N 54.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 45SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 19.9N 56.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.0N 57.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 23.3N 60.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 75NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 25.5N 63.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 27.0N 66.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 51.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
