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| #455625 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:05 AM 02.Sep.2011) TCMAT3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011 1500 UTC FRI SEP 02 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 91.5W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.3N 91.5W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 91.4W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 27.6N 91.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 28.2N 91.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 28.8N 91.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 60SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 29.7N 91.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 60SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 30SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 29.8N 90.4W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 60SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 30SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 31.0N 88.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 33.0N 87.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.3N 91.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
