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| #455688 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 PM 02.Sep.2011) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011 2100 UTC FRI SEP 02 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 91.5W AT 02/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.5N 91.5W AT 02/2100Z AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 91.5W FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.9N 91.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 28.5N 91.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 29.2N 91.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 29.7N 91.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...180NE 190SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 30.1N 89.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...170NE 190SE 0SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 31.5N 88.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 33.6N 86.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.5N 91.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
