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#455842 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:52 AM 03.Sep.2011) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM LEE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011 0900 UTC SAT SEP 03 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 91.9W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 0SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.8N 91.9W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N 91.8W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 29.3N 92.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 30.0N 91.9W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 30.5N 91.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...125NE 175SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 31.0N 90.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 175SE 100SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 32.5N 88.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 150SE 150SW 0NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 35.0N 86.0W...INLAND POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 37.0N 82.5W...INLAND POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.8N 91.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |