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| #455851 (Received by flhurricane at: 5:02 AM 03.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011 0900 UTC SAT SEP 03 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 55.1W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT.......100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT.......150NE 120SE 75SW 135NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 210SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 55.1W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 54.7W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.1N 56.3W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.1N 57.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.2N 59.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT...100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 75SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 23.4N 61.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...100NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 135SE 90SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.0N 64.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...110NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 135SE 100SW 150NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 28.5N 67.5W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 31.0N 70.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 55.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
