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| #456843 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 05.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 HURRICANE KATIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011 2100 UTC MON SEP 05 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. INTEREST IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KATIA. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 63.9W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 959 MB EYE DIAMETER 25 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT....... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT.......180NE 120SE 105SW 135NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 200SE 200SW 220NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.2N 63.9W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 63.4W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 26.1N 64.9W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 50SE 45SW 50NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 120SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.3N 66.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 135SE 120SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 28.5N 67.8W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 55NE 50SE 45SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 120SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 29.7N 69.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 165SE 135SW 135NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 33.5N 70.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 135SW 135NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 38.5N 66.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 42.0N 54.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.2N 63.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
