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| #457778 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:59 AM 08.Sep.2011) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 1000 AM CDT THU SEP 08 2011 ...NATE NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.0N 92.4W ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 145 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE NORTHWEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST. NATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/H. AN ERRATIC EASTWARD OR NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A SLOW NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND NATE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
