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| #457822 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:52 PM 08.Sep.2011) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 100 PM CDT THU SEP 08 2011 ...NATE A LITTLE STRONGER...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT APPROACHING... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.9N 92.4W ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 145 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST. NATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/H. AN ERRATIC EASTWARD OR NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A SLOW NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND NATE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TOMORROW OR SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
