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| #457874 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:55 PM 08.Sep.2011) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 500 PM AST THU SEP 08 2011 ...MARIA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN A LITTLE... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.2N 52.7W ABOUT 560 MI...900 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...AND SAINT KITTS * ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...GUADELOUPE...AND MARTINIQUE * DOMINICA * ST.MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.7 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL BE NEAR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY AND MOVING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MARIA IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WHILE MOVING ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. HOWEVER...IF WEAKENING DOES NOT OCCUR...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS WILL BE REQUIRED FOR SOME OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA LATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
