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| #457912 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:38 PM 08.Sep.2011) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 700 PM CDT THU SEP 08 2011 ...NATE NEARLY STATIONARY IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE... SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.7N 92.2W ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST. NATE IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND VERY LITTLE MOTION IS FORECAST TONIGHT. A SLOW NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND NATE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY FRIDAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER. AN ELEVATED PEMEX OIL RIG IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH GUSTS UP TO 86 MPH...138 KM/HR. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM PEMEX OIL RIG DATA IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART |
