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#458046 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:50 AM 09.Sep.2011) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 0900 UTC FRI SEP 09 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S VIRGIN ISLANDS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GUADELOUPE * ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS * ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * DOMINICA * ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE * PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 56.2W AT 09/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 30SE 30SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 56.2W AT 09/0900Z AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 55.5W FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 14.5N 58.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.0N 61.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 17.5N 63.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 19.0N 65.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 22.0N 69.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 40SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 24.0N 71.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 27.0N 73.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 56.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |