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| #458269 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:51 PM 09.Sep.2011) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 0300 UTC SAT SEP 10 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * GUADELOUPE * ST. MAARTIN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS * ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...SAINT KITTS AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS * DOMINICA * ST BARTHELEMY...ST MARTEEN...AND MARTINIQUE * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS * PUERTO RICO...INCLUDING VIEQUES AND CULEBRA INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 59.5W AT 10/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 40SE 120SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 59.5W AT 10/0300Z AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 59.1W FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.2N 61.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.8N 63.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 0SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.3N 65.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 20.8N 67.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 23.5N 70.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 120SE 60SW 110NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 27.5N 71.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 34.0N 69.0W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 59.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
