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| #458457 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 PM 10.Sep.2011) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 400 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2011 ...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FROM TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ MEXICO... PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.1N 94.6W ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO NORTH OF TUXPAN * MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO NORTH OF TUXPAN * MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST. NATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF NATE WILL REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ON SUNDAY. DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND NATE IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE INTENSITY WHEN IT MAKES LANDFALL ON SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ AND TABASCO. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
