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#458517 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:55 PM 10.Sep.2011)
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011
0300 UTC SUN SEP 11 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO
RICO...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 62.9W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......175NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 0SE 0SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 62.9W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 62.5W

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.6N 64.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 0SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 21.0N 65.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 60SE 0SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 22.3N 66.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 45SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 23.3N 68.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 45SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 26.0N 69.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE 30SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...125NE 100SE 45SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 32.0N 69.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 39.0N 63.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 62.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN