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| #458539 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:59 AM 11.Sep.2011) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 100 AM CDT SUN SEP 11 2011 ...NATE IS NOT STRENGTHENING...EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.9N 95.4W ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM NE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO NORTH OF TUXPAN * MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO NORTH OF TUXPAN * MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.4 WEST. NATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF NATE WILL REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. PRELIMINARY DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT NATE HAS NOT STRENGTHENED AND THE CHANCES OF BECOMING A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL ARE DIMINISHING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN A FEW HOURS...WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY MIDDAY. RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ AND TABASCO. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/AVILA |
