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| #458604 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:38 AM 11.Sep.2011) TCPAT5 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 700 AM CDT SUN SEP 11 2011 ...NATE MAKING LANDFALL JUST NORTH OF VERACRUZ... SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.4N 96.3W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM NNW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SSE OF TUXPAN MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 235 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.67 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT NATE IS MAKING LANDFALL ABOUT 15 MILES...25 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO...WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 60 MPH...95 KM/H. AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.3 WEST. NATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/H. A WESTWARD TO SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...BRINGING THE CENTER OF NATE INLAND OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RAPID WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TODAY AS THE CENTER MOVES INLAND...AND NATE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY AND MAY DISSIPATE BY TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.67 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ALONG THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA AND WILL SPREAD INLAND IN A SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER OF NATE. RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
