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| #458754 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:33 PM 11.Sep.2011) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 0300 UTC MON SEP 12 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 65.9W AT 12/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......175NE 100SE 0SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 60SE 60SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 65.9W AT 12/0300Z AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 65.6W FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 21.1N 67.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...175NE 100SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 22.5N 68.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 23.7N 69.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 45SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 25.5N 69.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...125NE 100SE 45SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 31.5N 68.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 20SW 50NW. 34 KT...160NE 130SE 45SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 40.7N 61.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 50.0N 48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 65.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |
