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| #458869 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:36 AM 12.Sep.2011) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 1500 UTC MON SEP 12 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 67.3W AT 12/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......175NE 100SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE 90SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 67.3W AT 12/1500Z AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 67.0W FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 21.1N 68.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...175NE 90SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 22.6N 69.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 0SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 24.5N 69.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 26.5N 69.9W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 34.0N 67.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT...170NE 150SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 43.5N 57.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 54.0N 39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.7N 67.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
