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| #458931 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:37 PM 12.Sep.2011) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 2100 UTC MON SEP 12 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 67.5W AT 12/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......175NE 175SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 135SE 75SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.0N 67.5W AT 12/2100Z AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.8N 67.1W FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 21.6N 68.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 22.8N 68.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 24.8N 69.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 27.5N 69.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 34.5N 67.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...170NE 150SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 45.0N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.0N 67.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
