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| #459055 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:58 AM 13.Sep.2011) TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 0900 UTC TUE SEP 13 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 67.7W AT 13/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......200NE 175SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 0SE 0SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 67.7W AT 13/0900Z AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 67.6W FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 22.8N 68.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...200NE 175SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 24.8N 68.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...175NE 150SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 27.5N 68.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 30SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 31.2N 67.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 85NW. FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 39.8N 61.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...175NE 175SE 100SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 51.0N 45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED/ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 67.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
