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| #459081 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:37 AM 13.Sep.2011) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 800 AM AST TUE SEP 13 2011 ...MARIA PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PUERTO RICO... SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.9N 67.9W ABOUT 320 MI...520 KM E OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ABOUT 745 MI...1195 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.9 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND A FURTHER INCRESE IN FORWARD SPEED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PASS WEST OF BERMUDA ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS THROUGH THIS EVENING. WIND...WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN...IN PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS TODAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |
