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| #459288 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 AM 14.Sep.2011) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 500 AM AST WED SEP 14 2011 ...MARIA STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.2N 68.6W ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM ENE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ABOUT 605 MI...975 KM SSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.6 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. MARIA IS FORECAST TO RESUME A NORTHWARD MOTION BY THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS WEST OF BERMUDA THURSDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES... 280 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. NOAA DATA BUOY 41046... LOCATED JUST EAST OF THE CENTER OF MARIA...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 43 MPH...69 KM/H AND A GUST OF 49 MPH...80 KM/H. REPORTS FROM THE NEARBY NOAA BUOY INDICATE THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
