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| #459410 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 14.Sep.2011) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 33 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 500 PM AST WED SEP 14 2011 ...AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE APPROACHING MARIA... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...26.3N 69.3W ABOUT 495 MI...795 KM SW OF BERMUDA ABOUT 450 MI...720 KM ENE OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.3 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H. A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS WEST OF BERMUDA ON THURSDAY MORNING. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TOMORROW...WITH WEAKENING LIKELY BEGINNING ON FRIDAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING MARIA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN |
