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| #459723 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:44 AM 16.Sep.2011) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 38A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 200 AM AST FRI SEP 16 2011 ...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF NEWFOUNDLAND... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.0N 62.0W ABOUT 640 MI...1030 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 44 MPH...70 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING WITH A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO BRIGUS SOUTH. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM JONES HARBOUR TO CHARLOTTETOWN AND WESTWARD FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO STONES COVE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO BRIGUS SOUTH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO ARNOLDS COVE AND FROM BRIGUS SOUTH TO CHARLOTTETOWN A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.0 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 44 MPH...70 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION ACCOMPANIED BY A STEADY INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA SHOULD PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MARIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE MARIA MOVES OVER OR NEAR THE AVALON PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER THIS MORNING. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY MIDDAY. RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND IN ASSOCIATION WITH MARIA. STORM SURGE...COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BERG/AVILA |
