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| #459843 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:59 PM 16.Sep.2011) TCPAT4 BULLETIN HURRICANE MARIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 40A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011 200 PM AST FRI SEP 16 2011 ...MARIA LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT RACES TOWARD NEWFOUNDLAND... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...46.4N 53.8W ABOUT 40 MI...60 KM WSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 54 MPH...87 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO BRIGUS SOUTH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO ARNOLDS COVE * NEWFOUNDLAND FROM BRIGUS SOUTH TO CHARLOTTETOWN FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA..PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.8 WEST. MARIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 54 MPH...87 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA SHOULD PASS NEAR OR OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MARIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. MARIA SHOULD WEAKEN AFTER CROSSING NEWFOUNDLAND AND LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS BY TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM... SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM...MOSTLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. CANADIAN BUOY 44138 RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 58 MPH... 94 KM/H...WITH A PEAK GUST OF 79 MPH...128 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND THROUGH TONIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MORE LIKELY WILL BE CONFINED TO THE COASTAL WATERS SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE. RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND IN ASSOCIATION WITH MARIA. STORM SURGE...COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN |
