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#461152 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 PM 22.Sep.2011) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 500 PM AST THU SEP 22 2011 ...OPHELIA REMAINS DISORGANIZED...LIKELY TO WEAKEN SOON... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.8N 48.9W ABOUT 890 MI...1430 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.9 WEST. OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS DISORGANIZED...AND STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE SOME WEAKENING DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER PASCH |