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| #461153 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:39 PM 22.Sep.2011) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 2100 UTC THU SEP 22 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 48.9W AT 22/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. 34 KT.......200NE 120SE 50SW 200NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 100SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 48.9W AT 22/2100Z AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 48.3W FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.5N 50.7W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 120SE 50SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.7N 53.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 120SE 50SW 200NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.1N 55.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 0SE 0SW 75NW. 34 KT...180NE 100SE 50SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.5N 57.3W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 30SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 21.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 100SE 30SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 23.5N 63.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 25.5N 65.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 48.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
