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#461210 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 PM 22.Sep.2011) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 1100 PM AST THU SEP 22 2011 ...OPHELIA WEAKENS...SUCCUMBING TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.1N 49.9W ABOUT 820 MI...1315 KM ESE OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.9 WEST. OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT OPHELIA COULD DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BERG |