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| #461211 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 PM 22.Sep.2011) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 0300 UTC FRI SEP 23 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 49.9W AT 23/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......225NE 120SE 50SW 180NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 100SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 49.9W AT 23/0300Z AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 49.3W FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.8N 51.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...195NE 105SE 45SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.2N 53.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...180NE 105SE 45SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.5N 55.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 45SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.8N 57.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 45SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 21.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 90SE 30SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 22.5N 63.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 25.0N 65.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 49.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
