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| #461522 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:47 AM 24.Sep.2011) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 0900 UTC SAT SEP 24 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 55.2W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT.......225NE 100SE 0SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 100SE 100SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 55.2W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 54.7W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.0N 56.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...225NE 100SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.2N 58.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...225NE 100SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 20.2N 60.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...225NE 100SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 21.0N 61.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...200NE 90SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 22.5N 63.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...200NE 90SE 0SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 24.5N 63.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 26.5N 63.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 55.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
