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| #461587 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:02 AM 24.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVENTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 1500 UTC SAT SEP 24 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 26.7W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 14 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 26.7W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 26.0W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 11.4N 28.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 12.2N 30.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 0SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 13.2N 32.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 14.2N 33.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.4N 36.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 18.4N 38.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 20.5N 39.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N 26.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
